Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 45.3%). Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zacha wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Poehling 46.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 82.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 74.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Zacha
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Zacha
Poehling
Last 5: Zacha 1-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Zacha
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
3
Zacha
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
46.5% (269)
-1.2%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
66.7% (3)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
42.4% (139)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Zacha shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Zacha
Poehling
Home
39.7% (131)
45.2% (177)
Away
49.7% (165)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Zacha
Poehling
P1
42.9%
47.7%
P2
46.4%
44.4%
P3
42.3%
44.6%
OT
87.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.9%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |