Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Poehling 50.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 73.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 77.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Zacha
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Zacha
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Zacha
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
52.6% (622)
+1.5%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
58.3% (12)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
39.8% (103)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Zacha shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Zacha
Poehling
Home
53.4% (406)
53.2% (393)
Away
52.9% (333)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Zacha
Poehling
P1
56.8%
50.9%
P2
53.6%
56.2%
P3
49.2%
46.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
53.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |