Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Thompson 45.3% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 68.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 91.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 80.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Zacha
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Zacha
Thompson
Last 9: Zacha 7-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
0
Zacha
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
0
Zacha
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Zacha
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
44.9% (642)
+8.4%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
47.9% (94)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
33.3% (33)
+5.6%
On even strength, Zacha has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Zacha shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Zacha
Thompson
Home
51.7% (410)
46.0% (391)
Away
52.2% (408)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Zacha
Thompson
P1
57.7%
48.1%
P2
48.9%
44.9%
P3
50.2%
41.2%
OT
35.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |