Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Thompson 43.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 59.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 71.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 65.2%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Zacha
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Zacha
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Zacha
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Zacha
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
43.3% (735)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
50.0% (26)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
36.5% (52)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Zacha shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Zacha
Thompson
Home
39.7% (131)
44.5% (407)
Away
49.7% (165)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Zacha
Thompson
P1
42.9%
44.4%
P2
46.4%
44.8%
P3
42.3%
40.2%
OT
87.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
38.9%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |