Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Thompson 44.0% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 62.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 56.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Zacha
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zacha
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Zacha
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
44.6% (709)
+9.3%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
41.5% (53)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
35.1% (97)
+9.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Zacha shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Zacha
Thompson
Home
56.7% (538)
45.5% (426)
Away
52.8% (530)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Zacha
Thompson
P1
52.6%
48.5%
P2
54.8%
43.8%
P3
56.8%
38.1%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:09 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |