Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Thompson 42.8% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 87.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 84.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 80.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Zacha
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
11
(29 meetings)
18
11
Zacha
Thompson
Last 10: Zacha 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
6
5
Zacha
Thompson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
9
3
Zacha
Thompson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Zacha
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
42.9% (3,521)
+6.0%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
46.8% (372)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
33.6% (265)
+8.6%
On power play, Zacha has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Zacha shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Zacha
Thompson
Home
49.7% (3,353)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Zacha
Thompson
P1
49.9%
44.5%
P2
49.2%
43.6%
P3
48.1%
40.2%
OT
53.1%
36.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |