Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Thompson 41.2% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 87.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 68.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 84.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Zacha
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Zacha
Thompson
Last 5: Zacha 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
0
Zacha
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
40.6% (801)
+7.4%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
44.7% (103)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
31.0% (71)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Zacha shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Zacha
Thompson
Home
48.9% (223)
43.2% (507)
Away
51.9% (154)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Zacha
Thompson
P1
47.9%
37.7%
P2
48.3%
43.4%
P3
54.3%
39.5%
OT
44.4%
27.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |