Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 44.2% vs Karlsson 51.7% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 76.3%
Defensive zone
Zacha 73.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 76.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Zacha
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Zacha
Karlsson
Last 8: Zacha 2-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Zacha
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zacha
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Zacha
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (514)
52.9% (719)
-10.1%
Power Play
51.9% (79)
53.5% (101)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (61)
45.2% (126)
-9.1%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zacha is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Zacha shoots left. Karlsson is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Zacha
Karlsson
Home
45.0% (289)
54.1% (547)
Away
41.9% (365)
48.9% (399)
By Period
Zacha
Karlsson
P1
47.4%
49.5%
P2
43.8%
53.2%
P3
37.7%
52.3%
OT
66.7%
61.9%
Final 5 min
39.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | William Karlsson |