Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 68.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 57.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 54.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Zacha
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zacha
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
58.5% (135)
-5.2%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
80.0% (5)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
44.4% (18)
-5.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Zacha shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Zacha
Karlsson
Home
51.7% (410)
63.7% (91)
Away
52.2% (408)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Zacha
Karlsson
P1
57.7%
54.4%
P2
48.9%
66.7%
P3
50.2%
51.9%
OT
35.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |