Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 52.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 70.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 61.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Zacha
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Zacha
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
0
Zacha
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Zacha
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
51.4% (735)
-3.4%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
63.5% (115)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
42.9% (133)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Zacha shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Zacha
Karlsson
Home
48.9% (223)
52.3% (524)
Away
51.9% (154)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Zacha
Karlsson
P1
47.9%
50.7%
P2
48.3%
51.4%
P3
54.3%
53.2%
OT
44.4%
41.2%
Final 5 min
47.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |