Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 64.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 73.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 60.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Zacha
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zacha
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
58.6% (597)
-4.5%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
57.9% (57)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
51.9% (52)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Zacha shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Zacha
Karlsson
Home
53.4% (406)
59.6% (344)
Away
52.9% (333)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Zacha
Karlsson
P1
56.8%
53.1%
P2
53.6%
62.1%
P3
49.2%
60.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |