Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 52.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 50.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Zacha
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zacha
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Zacha
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
56.3% (739)
-2.4%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
58.6% (181)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
47.2% (53)
-2.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Zacha shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Zacha
Karlsson
Home
56.7% (538)
56.5% (462)
Away
52.8% (530)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Zacha
Karlsson
P1
52.6%
57.1%
P2
54.8%
55.2%
P3
56.8%
56.7%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | William Karlsson |