Scouting Report
Philipp Kurashev holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Kurashev wins 28.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 48.4% vs Novak 44.9% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Novak 68.8%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 60.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.6%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Kurashev
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (26)
41.7% (206)
+8.3%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
52.6% (19)
-2.6%
On even strength, Kurashev has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kurashev is 28.6% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Kurashev shoots left. Novak is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Novak
Home
46.7% (30)
44.9% (118)
Away
43.5% (23)
40.2% (107)
By Period
Kurashev
Novak
P1
47.6%
41.5%
P2
36.4%
44.0%
P3
47.6%
42.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
42.0%▼
45.5%
45.3%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%