Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Kurashev wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 45.7% vs Novak 46.5% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Novak 53.2%
Defensive zone
Novak 52.7%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 56.0%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Kurashev
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (113)
43.2% (118)
+0.2%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
47.8% (23)
-22.8%
On power play, Novak has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kurashev is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Kurashev shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Novak
Home
48.3% (58)
50.7% (71)
Away
36.5% (63)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Kurashev
Novak
P1
30.8%
44.7%
P2
44.2%
50.0%
P3
55.2%
38.9%
Final 5 min
31.8%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%