Scouting Report
Philipp Kurashev holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Kurashev wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 47.3% vs Novak 43.5% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
Novak 50.2%
Defensive zone
Novak 56.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Kurashev
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (203)
40.7% (460)
+5.6%
Power Play
49.1% (57)
61.5% (39)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
0.0% (1)
+35.7%
On penalty kill, Kurashev has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kurashev is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Kurashev shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Novak
Home
45.0% (140)
47.0% (236)
Away
47.8% (134)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Kurashev
Novak
P1
51.9%
43.1%
P2
44.3%
43.1%
P3
43.6%
40.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
42.0%▼
45.5%
46.4%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.2%