Scouting Report
Philipp Kurashev holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Kurashev wins 30.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 46.9% vs Novak 43.4% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Novak 71.0%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 60.9%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.0%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Kurashev
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (46)
41.4% (379)
+8.6%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
46.9% (32)
-6.2%
On even strength, Kurashev has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kurashev is 30.4% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Kurashev shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Novak
Home
37.5% (40)
42.6% (195)
Away
48.7% (39)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Kurashev
Novak
P1
48.6%
42.4%
P2
40.0%
39.2%
P3
37.9%
44.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
43.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%