Scouting Report
Philipp Kurashev holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Kurashev wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 48.0% vs Novak 45.0% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 55.7%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 55.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Kurashev
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (184)
42.9% (198)
+3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
40.9% (22)
+9.1%
On power play, Kurashev has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kurashev is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Kurashev shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Novak
Home
44.4% (63)
40.9% (110)
Away
48.3% (143)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Kurashev
Novak
P1
53.8%
39.1%
P2
38.7%
43.9%
P3
50.0%
44.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
63.8%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%