Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Danault wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 55.2% vs Hertl 51.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 85.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 67.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 75.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Danault
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Danault
Hertl
Last 9: Danault 2-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Danault
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Danault
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Danault
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (1,222)
51.7% (869)
+3.1%
Power Play
81.6% (49)
55.7% (176)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (317)
44.9% (138)
+9.4%
On power play, Danault has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Danault is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Danault shoots left. Hertl is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Danault
Hertl
Home
56.2% (770)
51.8% (583)
Away
54.9% (818)
51.2% (600)
By Period
Danault
Hertl
P1
52.5%
52.5%
P2
57.9%
50.9%
P3
55.6%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
56.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |