Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.3% vs Hertl 52.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 61.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 58.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 60.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Danault
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Danault
Hertl
Last 10: Danault 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
9
Danault
Hertl
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Danault
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (985)
51.6% (1,084)
+2.4%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
61.0% (246)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (146)
44.1% (136)
-0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Danault is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Danault shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Danault
Hertl
Home
54.7% (636)
55.2% (696)
Away
52.4% (626)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Danault
Hertl
P1
54.1%
55.4%
P2
54.3%
54.8%
P3
52.5%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |