Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 52.1% vs Hertl 55.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 74.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 69.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.5%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Danault
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Danault
Hertl
Last 10: Danault 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Danault
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
6
1
Danault
Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Danault
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (958)
54.1% (717)
-1.7%
Power Play
62.0% (71)
61.9% (210)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (187)
58.1% (31)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Danault shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Danault
Hertl
Home
51.2% (605)
58.1% (492)
Away
53.2% (611)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Danault
Hertl
P1
53.1%
57.1%
P2
49.8%
54.0%
P3
54.3%
56.6%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |