Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 51.7% vs Hertl 56.8% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 70.6%
Defensive zone
Hertl 55.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Danault
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Danault
Hertl
Last 9: Danault 5-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Danault
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Danault
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (895)
57.0% (718)
-4.4%
Power Play
55.7% (97)
64.9% (188)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
44.2% (77)
+1.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Danault shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Danault
Hertl
Home
54.0% (581)
59.2% (463)
Away
49.7% (576)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Danault
Hertl
P1
53.7%
56.3%
P2
55.3%
55.4%
P3
46.5%
60.5%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | OT | 01:03 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |