Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 51.7% vs Dubois 44.8% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 51.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 88.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 71.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Paul
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Paul
Dubois
Last 10: Paul 6-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Paul
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
4
0
Paul
Dubois
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
3
Paul
Dubois
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (274)
43.2% (368)
+13.0%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
50.0% (14)
+2.9%
On even strength, Paul has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Paul is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Paul shoots left. Dubois is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Paul
Dubois
Home
52.3% (235)
44.6% (130)
Away
51.9% (185)
42.9% (252)
By Period
Paul
Dubois
P1
53.2%
49.6%
P2
53.8%
37.6%
P3
49.3%
43.9%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:25 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |