Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Suter 47.4% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 93.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 73.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 90.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Tavares
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Tavares
Suter
Last 8: Tavares 8-0 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Suter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
48.0% (421)
+9.5%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
50.0% (4)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
31.3% (32)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Suter is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Tavares
Suter
Home
61.0% (661)
48.6% (183)
Away
55.3% (584)
45.6% (274)
By Period
Tavares
Suter
P1
58.6%
47.1%
P2
57.8%
47.3%
P3
58.4%
46.1%
Final 5 min
63.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |