Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 45.3% vs Thomas 44.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 53.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 51.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 56.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Hayton
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayton
Thomas
Last 5: Hayton 2-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Hayton
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Hayton
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (60)
42.1% (297)
-3.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.0% (16)
-50.0%
On power play, Thomas has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Hayton is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Hayton shoots left. Thomas is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Hayton
Thomas
Home
38.9% (36)
40.9% (186)
Away
36.0% (25)
45.8% (131)
By Period
Hayton
Thomas
P1
27.3%
43.3%
P2
42.1%
40.6%
P3
45.0%
45.3%
Final 5 min
16.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
37.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |