Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.7% vs Carrick 53.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 54.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 62.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Thomas
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Thomas
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (615)
55.1% (439)
-5.0%
Power Play
62.2% (98)
66.7% (3)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (114)
49.1% (53)
+3.5%
On even strength, Carrick has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Thomas is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Thomas shoots right. Carrick is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Thomas
Carrick
Home
51.9% (374)
58.2% (225)
Away
51.9% (453)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Thomas
Carrick
P1
49.2%
56.7%
P2
55.3%
52.8%
P3
50.6%
54.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |