Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thomas wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.7% vs Carrick 49.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 78.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 67.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Thomas
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thomas
Carrick
Last 5: Thomas 4-1 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (924)
49.2% (307)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.2% (181)
66.7% (6)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (116)
48.2% (56)
-4.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Thomas shoots right. Carrick is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Thomas
Carrick
Home
53.6% (606)
50.3% (175)
Away
52.2% (615)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Thomas
Carrick
P1
48.2%
41.0%
P2
55.3%
51.2%
P3
55.2%
55.3%
Final 5 min
55.1%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |