Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.4%). Thomas wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 49.9% vs Carrick 49.5% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Thomas 69.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 69.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Thomas
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (910)
48.9% (352)
+0.1%
Power Play
53.5% (142)
81.3% (16)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (75)
42.2% (45)
+11.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Thomas shoots right. Carrick is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Thomas
Carrick
Home
47.3% (514)
46.9% (192)
Away
52.0% (613)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Thomas
Carrick
P1
50.4%
48.1%
P2
47.5%
50.0%
P3
51.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%