Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.2%). Thomas wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 54.5% vs Carrick 53.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 80.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 70.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Thomas
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Thomas
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (990)
53.8% (654)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.2% (190)
0.0% (2)
+54.2%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (158)
63.9% (36)
-11.4%
On power play, Thomas has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Thomas is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Thomas shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Thomas
Carrick
Home
55.1% (690)
50.0% (328)
Away
54.5% (648)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Thomas
Carrick
P1
55.5%
56.7%
P2
56.4%
51.1%
P3
51.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
54.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |