Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Thomas wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.9% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.4%
Defensive zone
Thomas 65.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 54.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Thomas
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Thomas
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Thomas
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thomas
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (1,166)
55.9% (499)
-2.7%
Power Play
56.9% (262)
56.3% (126)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (221)
58.3% (12)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Thomas shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Thomas
Stamkos
Home
51.6% (830)
55.3% (349)
Away
54.7% (819)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Thomas
Stamkos
P1
52.7%
57.0%
P2
55.6%
59.2%
P3
50.6%
51.5%
OT
61.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |