Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Hintz 53.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 80.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 68.7%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 58.8%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Kastelic
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kastelic
Hintz
Last 6: Kastelic 3-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Kastelic
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kastelic
Hintz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
0
Kastelic
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
53.6% (711)
+1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
53.8% (93)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
58.7% (46)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kastelic shoots right. Hintz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Hintz
Home
50.6% (162)
52.6% (460)
Away
57.4% (204)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Kastelic
Hintz
P1
61.5%
59.0%
P2
52.8%
52.7%
P3
50.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |