Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hintz wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.4% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 59.6%
Defensive zone
Hintz 58.0%
Neutral zone
Hintz 59.3%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Hintz
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Hintz
O'Reilly
Last 9: Hintz 3-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Hintz
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
1
Hintz
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Hintz
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (336)
57.1% (1,367)
-2.9%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
59.4% (286)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
52.5% (257)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hintz is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Hintz shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
Home / Away
Hintz
O'Reilly
Home
57.3% (232)
59.2% (936)
Away
50.0% (168)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Hintz
O'Reilly
P1
53.3%
57.3%
P2
51.2%
57.5%
P3
58.5%
55.0%
OT
40.0%
71.1%
Final 5 min
52.9%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:52 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |