Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 52.6% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 81.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.9%
Neutral zone
Hintz 58.2%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Hintz
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Hintz
O'Reilly
Last 8: Hintz 3-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
1
Hintz
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Hintz
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hintz
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (526)
56.6% (1,064)
-3.7%
Power Play
57.4% (108)
60.4% (260)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (40)
54.0% (261)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hintz is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Hintz shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Hintz
O'Reilly
Home
53.8% (329)
54.9% (801)
Away
52.2% (345)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Hintz
O'Reilly
P1
55.6%
58.0%
P2
53.0%
56.7%
P3
51.7%
55.4%
OT
37.5%
64.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2022 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 15:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 01:55 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |