Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 49.9% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 56.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 88.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 75.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Hintz
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Hintz
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hintz 8-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
6
1
Hintz
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Hintz
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
4
2
Hintz
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (285)
57.3% (1,073)
-5.7%
Power Play
44.0% (50)
58.5% (258)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
50.7% (225)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hintz is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Hintz shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (962).
Home / Away
Hintz
O'Reilly
Home
52.3% (176)
59.2% (765)
Away
47.3% (169)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Hintz
O'Reilly
P1
48.2%
55.6%
P2
53.4%
61.0%
P3
48.2%
52.3%
OT
42.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
49.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | OT | 04:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |