Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.4%). Hintz wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 52.6% vs Aho 52.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 51.9%
Defensive zone
Aho 60.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.1%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Hintz
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hintz
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Hintz
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hintz
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (526)
51.6% (819)
+1.3%
Power Play
57.4% (108)
58.4% (173)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (40)
46.3% (67)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Hintz is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Hintz shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Hintz
Aho
Home
53.8% (329)
53.9% (568)
Away
52.2% (345)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Hintz
Aho
P1
55.6%
55.4%
P2
53.0%
51.2%
P3
51.7%
50.9%
OT
37.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
51.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |