Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Hintz wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.8% vs Aho 51.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 61.8%
Defensive zone
Hintz 65.3%
Neutral zone
Hintz 65.0%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Hintz
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
15
(34 meetings)
19
15
Hintz
Aho
Last 10: Hintz 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
4
5
Hintz
Aho
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
10
4
Hintz
Aho
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
5
6
Hintz
Aho
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,722)
50.1% (6,619)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
58.9% (1,310)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (221)
46.3% (464)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Hintz shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Hintz
Aho
Home
54.9% (2,317)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
52.9% (2,193)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Hintz
Aho
P1
55.5%
51.1%
P2
53.9%
52.0%
P3
52.7%
50.7%
OT
49.3%
48.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:13 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |