Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.5% vs Aho 54.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 62.6%
Defensive zone
Hintz 68.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.5%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Hintz
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Hintz
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
3
0
Hintz
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (711)
54.5% (870)
-0.9%
Power Play
53.8% (93)
62.4% (266)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
58.7% (46)
37.1% (62)
+21.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Hintz shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Hintz
Aho
Home
52.6% (460)
53.9% (603)
Away
55.4% (390)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Hintz
Aho
P1
59.0%
54.1%
P2
52.7%
55.0%
P3
51.1%
57.4%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.2%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |