Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 60.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 58.0% vs Aho 50.0% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 78.2%
Defensive zone
Hintz 84.2%
Neutral zone
Hintz 76.2%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Hintz
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hintz
Aho
Last 8: Hintz 5-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
0
Hintz
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hintz
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
1
Hintz
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (530)
49.9% (851)
+8.8%
Power Play
59.4% (170)
53.5% (144)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (27)
43.3% (60)
+23.4%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Hintz shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Hintz
Aho
Home
60.2% (354)
53.2% (554)
Away
58.2% (373)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Hintz
Aho
P1
58.4%
49.1%
P2
59.8%
50.8%
P3
58.2%
49.7%
OT
81.8%
58.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |