Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 57.8% vs Aho 50.4% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 77.3%
Defensive zone
Hintz 85.6%
Neutral zone
Hintz 72.9%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Hintz
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hintz
Aho
Last 8: Hintz 5-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
0
Hintz
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hintz
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
1
Hintz
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (514)
50.5% (647)
+8.4%
Power Play
57.6% (158)
54.2% (131)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (27)
38.1% (42)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Hintz is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Hintz shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Hintz
Aho
Home
59.8% (326)
53.9% (445)
Away
58.2% (373)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Hintz
Aho
P1
57.9%
48.7%
P2
59.8%
51.4%
P3
58.2%
50.8%
OT
80.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
57.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
58.9%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |