Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.4%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 51.6% vs Aho 51.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 54.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 50.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Hintz
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hintz
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Hintz
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (439)
48.5% (778)
+4.1%
Power Play
37.9% (29)
63.4% (191)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
50.8% (65)
+12.8%
On power play, Aho has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Hintz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Hintz shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Hintz
Aho
Home
53.5% (256)
51.3% (530)
Away
50.2% (223)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Hintz
Aho
P1
59.5%
50.0%
P2
49.2%
51.3%
P3
47.1%
52.1%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |