Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.8% vs Novak 46.5% (+8.2%)
Offensive zone
Novak 57.8%
Defensive zone
Colton 57.3%
Neutral zone
Colton 52.3%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Colton
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (524)
43.2% (118)
+9.5%
Power Play
50.9% (53)
47.8% (23)
+3.1%
On even strength, Colton has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Colton is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Colton shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Colton
Novak
Home
52.9% (291)
50.7% (71)
Away
51.4% (290)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Colton
Novak
P1
50.6%
44.7%
P2
54.4%
50.0%
P3
51.6%
38.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%