Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 45.2% vs Novak 45.0% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Colton 54.4%
Defensive zone
Novak 58.0%
Neutral zone
Novak 54.5%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Colton
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (75)
42.9% (198)
-1.6%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
40.9% (22)
-5.6%
On power play, Novak has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Colton is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Colton shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Colton
Novak
Home
42.9% (49)
40.9% (110)
Away
37.5% (48)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Colton
Novak
P1
48.9%
39.1%
P2
33.3%
43.9%
P3
31.8%
44.9%
Final 5 min
39.1%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
40.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%