Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 48.5% vs Novak 43.4% (+5.1%)
Offensive zone
Novak 64.4%
Defensive zone
Colton 55.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 55.8%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Colton
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (88)
41.4% (379)
+4.1%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
46.9% (32)
+24.5%
On power play, Colton has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Colton is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Colton shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Colton
Novak
Home
44.7% (47)
42.6% (195)
Away
49.0% (49)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Colton
Novak
P1
52.8%
42.4%
P2
47.1%
39.2%
P3
38.5%
44.7%
Final 5 min
41.2%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%