Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 54.0% vs Novak 45.6% (+11.6%)
Offensive zone
Novak 56.7%
Defensive zone
Colton 56.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.9%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Colton
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (173)
43.8% (384)
+12.3%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
58.8% (17)
-2.5%
On even strength, Colton has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Colton is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Colton shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Colton
Novak
Home
55.3% (94)
46.5% (202)
Away
56.8% (95)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Colton
Novak
P1
48.1%
49.2%
P2
62.5%
44.2%
P3
57.1%
40.0%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
56.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%