Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Hartman wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 43.0% vs Hertl 54.7% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 30-11 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 94.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 83.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 91.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 90.8%
90.8%
9.2%
Hartman
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
30
(41 meetings)
11
30
Hartman
Hertl
Last 10: Hartman 1-9 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
9
Hartman
Hertl
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
6
Hartman
Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
8
15
Hartman
Hertl
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (413)
55.7% (648)
-14.8%
Power Play
53.6% (28)
60.4% (149)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (36)
42.2% (83)
-3.3%
On even strength, Hertl has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hartman is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Hartman shoots right. Hertl is 61.8% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Hartman
Hertl
Home
46.2% (249)
58.3% (391)
Away
36.4% (228)
52.8% (489)
By Period
Hartman
Hertl
P1
45.4%
58.9%
P2
39.1%
51.5%
P3
40.2%
54.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |