Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 44.0% vs Hertl 54.5% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 65.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 62.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 52.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Hartman
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hartman
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Hartman
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (495)
54.1% (1,117)
-11.5%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
59.8% (296)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (43)
34.4% (32)
+14.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Hartman shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Hartman
Hertl
Home
43.4% (288)
54.3% (709)
Away
42.4% (276)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Hartman
Hertl
P1
43.1%
51.6%
P2
43.4%
53.6%
P3
42.0%
58.6%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
44.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |