Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 47.3% vs Hertl 56.8% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 57.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 55.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 56.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Hartman
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hartman
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Hartman
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (649)
57.0% (718)
-9.9%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
64.9% (188)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (73)
44.2% (77)
+1.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Hartman shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Hartman
Hertl
Home
46.5% (361)
59.2% (463)
Away
47.3% (429)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Hartman
Hertl
P1
45.1%
56.3%
P2
44.4%
55.4%
P3
50.9%
60.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |