Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 43.0% vs Zegras 46.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 57.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 75.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 56.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Hartman
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Hartman
Zegras
Last 8: Hartman 3-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hartman
Zegras
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
3
Hartman
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (413)
44.2% (86)
-3.3%
Power Play
53.6% (28)
40.0% (10)
+13.6%
On power play, Hartman has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hartman is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Hartman shoots right. Zegras is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Hartman
Zegras
Home
46.2% (249)
44.8% (29)
Away
36.4% (228)
43.3% (67)
By Period
Hartman
Zegras
P1
45.4%
41.4%
P2
39.1%
47.1%
P3
40.2%
42.4%
Final 5 min
41.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:33 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |