Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 47.3% vs Zegras 43.3% (+8.6%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 55.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 66.8%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Hartman
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (649)
39.8% (128)
+7.3%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
22.2% (9)
+24.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (73)
0.0% (1)
+45.2%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Hartman shoots right. Zegras is 30.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Hartman
Zegras
Home
46.5% (361)
29.7% (74)
Away
47.3% (429)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Hartman
Zegras
P1
45.1%
40.7%
P2
44.4%
35.1%
P3
50.9%
41.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%