Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 44.0% vs Zegras 42.6% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 62.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 57.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 50.6%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Hartman
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (495)
41.1% (559)
+1.5%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
50.0% (12)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (43)
50.0% (2)
-1.2%
On power play, Zegras has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Hartman shoots right. Zegras is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Hartman
Zegras
Home
43.4% (288)
45.7% (247)
Away
42.4% (276)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Hartman
Zegras
P1
43.1%
45.5%
P2
43.4%
36.8%
P3
42.0%
41.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%