Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Zegras 41.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 66.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 59.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 50.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Hartman
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hartman
Zegras
Last 6: Hartman 3-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Hartman
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
0
Hartman
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Hartman
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (936)
39.4% (510)
+5.4%
Power Play
49.4% (154)
47.1% (34)
+2.3%
On even strength, Hartman has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Hartman shoots right. Zegras is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Hartman
Zegras
Home
47.4% (568)
42.3% (272)
Away
42.4% (576)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Hartman
Zegras
P1
47.2%
37.6%
P2
43.4%
41.5%
P3
43.8%
40.8%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |