Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 48.1% vs Zegras 41.3% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 62.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 82.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 71.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Hartman
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hartman
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (520)
36.5% (156)
+11.6%
Power Play
44.7% (47)
40.7% (27)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
0.0% (3)
+47.8%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Hartman shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Hartman
Zegras
Home
48.3% (360)
38.9% (113)
Away
47.0% (230)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Hartman
Zegras
P1
48.5%
40.0%
P2
45.2%
38.1%
P3
49.6%
31.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |